L’École des cotes

Elversberg v SC Paderborn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 11:30 UTC

Score final : Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elversberg (Local)

Prévision 43.27%2.31cote équitable
EV -4.81%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -4.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.13%43.36%43.20%44.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.992.132.152.2050.25%46.96%46.51%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Paderborn (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.03%3.22cote équitable
EV +0.532%
Avantage +0.164%
Kelly +0.238%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.51%30.97%31.08%32.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.973.003.2436.36%33.67%33.33%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.70%3.89cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.271%
Kelly -0.366%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.77%25.67%25.71%27.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.09%28.17%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.19%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV +0.532%E +0.164%K +0.238%G +0.001%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -0.709%E -0.221%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 06:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.33%E -0.613%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 07:15
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:14
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:05
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:16
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:15
Suprabets2.13I 46.95%NM 43.84%EV -7.84%E -3.68%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.22%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 11:03
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 08:01
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:05
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.11%E -2.81%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:50
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.11%E -2.81%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:51
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -1.04%E -0.271%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 10:30
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:50
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:55
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.41%E -3.46%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:50
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.41%E -3.46%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:51
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 05:55
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 11:15
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.53%E -2.53%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:31
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.53%E -2.53%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:55
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:30
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 10:51
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:01
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 10:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 10:30
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 11:15
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 10:59
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 10:51
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 10:49
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.24%EV -10.43%E -5.04%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.19%EV -10.95%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:05
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.02%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -11.57%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -13.89%E -4.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 10:50
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.79%EV -13.90%E -6.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.58%EV -11.57%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.46%E -6.73%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.32%E -6.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.67%E -5.34%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:31
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-03 11:25
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-05-03 11:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%3.0%2026-05-03 11:00