مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elversberg v SC Paderborn

البداية: 2026-05-03 11:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elversberg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.27%2.31السعر العادل
EV -4.81%
الأفضلية -2.19%
Kelly -4.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.13%43.36%43.20%44.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.992.132.152.2050.25%46.96%46.51%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

SC Paderborn (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.03%3.22السعر العادل
EV +0.532%
الأفضلية +0.164%
Kelly +0.238%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.51%30.97%31.08%32.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.973.003.2436.36%33.67%33.33%30.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.70%3.89السعر العادل
EV -1.04%
الأفضلية -0.271%
Kelly -0.366%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.77%25.67%25.71%27.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.09%28.17%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.19%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV +0.532%E +0.164%K +0.238%G +0.001%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -0.709%E -0.221%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 06:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.33%E -0.613%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 07:15
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:14
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:05
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:16
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:15
Suprabets2.13I 46.95%NM 43.84%EV -7.84%E -3.68%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.22%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 11:03
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 08:01
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:05
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.11%E -2.81%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:50
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.11%E -2.81%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:51
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -1.04%E -0.271%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 10:30
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:50
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:55
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.41%E -3.46%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:50
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.41%E -3.46%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:51
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 05:55
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 11:15
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.53%E -2.53%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:31
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.53%E -2.53%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:55
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:30
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 10:51
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:01
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 10:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 10:30
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 11:15
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 10:59
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 10:51
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 10:49
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.24%EV -10.43%E -5.04%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.19%EV -10.95%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:05
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.02%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -11.57%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -13.89%E -4.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 10:50
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.79%EV -13.90%E -6.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.58%EV -11.57%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.46%E -6.73%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.32%E -6.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.67%E -5.34%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:31
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-03 11:25
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-05-03 11:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%3.0%2026-05-03 11:00