Школа коэффициентов

Elversberg v Arminia Bielefeld

Начало: 2026-03-21 12:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Elversberg (Хозяева)

Прогноз 47.88%2.09справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.28%
Преимущество -1.62%
Kelly -3.21%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.02

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.80%47.93%47.97%50.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.771.911.922.0256.50%52.35%52.08%49.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Arminia Bielefeld (Гости)

Прогноз 26.92%3.71справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.31%
Преимущество +0.609%
Kelly +0.826%
Рост +0.019%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.61%26.81%26.91%28.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.493.483.8032.26%28.66%28.74%26.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.19%3.97справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.01%
Преимущество -0.782%
Kelly -1.06%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.19%25.26%25.12%27.60%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.643.703.8532.26%27.49%27.03%25.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV +2.31%E +0.609%K +0.826%G +0.019%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 11:30
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV +2.31%E +0.609%K +0.826%G +0.019%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 11:30
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.89%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%EV -0.379%E -0.103%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 11:44
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.89%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%EV -0.379%E -0.103%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -0.379%E -0.103%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 11:55
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -0.379%E -0.103%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 11:30
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.93%EV -3.28%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -1.73%E -0.473%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.55%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 11:45
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 11:54
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.24%EV -15.25%E -8.61%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 11:30
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.24%EV -15.25%E -8.61%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 11:30
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.01%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 11:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 11:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 11:45
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.02%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 11:54
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 10:40
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 11:54
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 11:54
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.58%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.30%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -8.30%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 11:55
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 11:53
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 11:55
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:54
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 11:44
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 11:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 11:55
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:54
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.28%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.24%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.78%EV -3.51%E -0.917%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 11:55
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.26%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -10.34%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -9.81%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 11:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:44
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:45
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:44
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 10:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 10:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 10:40
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.87%E -5.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-21 11:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.94%EV -11.89%E -6.46%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-21 11:54
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.57%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 11:54
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 47.34%EV -14.77%E -8.30%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.33%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.33%EV -19.38%E -6.06%K -8.81%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -21.90%E -7.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-21 11:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00%-0.0%2026-03-21 11:55
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-03-21 11:55