مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elversberg v Arminia Bielefeld

البداية: 2026-03-21 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elversberg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.88%2.09السعر العادل
EV -3.28%
الأفضلية -1.62%
Kelly -3.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.80%47.93%47.97%50.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.771.911.922.0256.50%52.35%52.08%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arminia Bielefeld (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.92%3.71السعر العادل
EV +2.31%
الأفضلية +0.609%
Kelly +0.826%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.61%26.81%26.91%28.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.493.483.8032.26%28.66%28.74%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.19%3.97السعر العادل
EV -3.01%
الأفضلية -0.782%
Kelly -1.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.19%25.26%25.12%27.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.643.703.8532.26%27.49%27.03%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV +2.31%E +0.609%K +0.826%G +0.019%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 11:30
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV +2.31%E +0.609%K +0.826%G +0.019%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 11:30
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:05
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV +0.967%E +0.258%K +0.352%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.89%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%EV -0.379%E -0.103%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 11:44
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.89%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%EV -0.379%E -0.103%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -0.379%E -0.103%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 11:55
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -0.379%E -0.103%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 11:30
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.93%EV -3.28%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -1.73%E -0.473%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.55%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 11:45
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 11:54
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.24%EV -15.25%E -8.61%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 11:30
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.24%EV -15.25%E -8.61%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 11:30
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.01%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 11:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 11:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 11:45
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.02%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 11:54
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 10:40
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 11:54
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 11:54
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.58%EV -6.15%E -3.14%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.30%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -8.30%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 11:55
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 11:53
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 11:55
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:54
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.06%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 11:44
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 11:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 11:55
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:54
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.28%E -1.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.24%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.78%EV -3.51%E -0.917%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 11:55
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.26%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -10.34%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -9.81%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 11:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.23%E -2.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:44
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:45
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:44
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 10:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 10:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 10:40
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.87%E -5.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-21 11:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.94%EV -11.89%E -6.46%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-21 11:54
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.57%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 11:54
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 47.34%EV -14.77%E -8.30%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.33%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.33%EV -19.38%E -6.06%K -8.81%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -21.90%E -7.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-21 11:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00%-0.0%2026-03-21 11:55
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-03-21 11:55