Школа коэффициентов

Arminia Bielefeld v Hertha Berlin

Начало: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Итог: Arminia Bielefeld 6–1 Hertha Berlin

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.50%1.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.416%
Преимущество +0.213%
Kelly +0.438%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.81%51.37%51.43%53.16%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.671.801.801.9559.88%55.70%55.56%51.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Hertha Berlin (Гости)

Прогноз 24.37%4.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.100%
Преимущество -0.024%
Kelly -0.032%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.04%24.46%24.44%26.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.783.804.1029.41%26.46%26.32%24.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 24.14%4.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.38%
Преимущество +0.329%
Kelly +0.432%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.78%24.17%24.13%26.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.793.804.2030.30%26.36%26.32%23.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV +1.38%E +0.329%K +0.432%G +0.006%4.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.01%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.03%E -0.251%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.54%E -0.634%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.65%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.65%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.27%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -0.100%E -0.024%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.40%EV -5.38%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:06
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:06
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:05
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:05
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:06
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:06
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 08:06
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.37%E -5.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 08:06
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.75%E -0.951%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.75%E -0.951%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.54%E -0.634%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:38
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.16%EV -14.00%E -8.38%K -20.90%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.48%EV -7.90%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.26%EV -1.81%E -0.448%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.94%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Suprabets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.54%E -0.634%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:35
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.82%E -4.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -1.32%E -0.325%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -2.54%E -0.634%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:38
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -12.46%E -7.33%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:06
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -12.46%E -7.33%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:05
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV +0.416%E +0.213%K +0.438%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:20
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -13.49%E -8.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 08:05
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.43%E -6.64%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -15.94%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.88%E -5.65%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -11.94%E -6.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 08:06
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.88%E -5.65%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.17%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -15.94%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -17.93%E -5.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -10.91%E -6.31%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -17.16%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -20.34%E -6.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.26%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.23%-1.0%2026-05-17 08:06
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40