A Escola das Odds

Arminia Bielefeld v Hertha Berlin

Início: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Final: Arminia Bielefeld 6–1 Hertha Berlin

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Local)

Previsão 51.50%1.94odd justa
EV +0.416%
Vantagem +0.213%
Kelly +0.438%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.81%51.37%51.43%53.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.801.801.9559.88%55.70%55.56%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hertha Berlin (Visitante)

Previsão 24.37%4.10odd justa
EV -0.100%
Vantagem -0.024%
Kelly -0.032%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.04%24.46%24.44%26.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.783.804.1029.41%26.46%26.32%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.14%4.14odd justa
EV +1.38%
Vantagem +0.329%
Kelly +0.432%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.78%24.17%24.13%26.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.793.804.2030.30%26.36%26.32%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV +1.38%E +0.329%K +0.432%G +0.006%4.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.01%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.03%E -0.251%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.54%E -0.634%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.44%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.65%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.65%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.27%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -0.100%E -0.024%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.40%EV -5.38%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:06
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:06
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:05
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:05
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:06
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -8.34%E -4.68%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:06
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 08:06
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.37%E -5.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 08:06
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.75%E -0.951%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.75%E -0.951%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.54%E -0.634%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.97%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:38
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.16%EV -14.00%E -8.38%K -20.90%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.48%EV -7.90%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.26%EV -1.81%E -0.448%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.94%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Suprabets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.54%E -0.634%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:35
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.82%E -4.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -1.32%E -0.325%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -2.54%E -0.634%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:38
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -12.46%E -7.33%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:06
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -12.46%E -7.33%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:05
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV +0.416%E +0.213%K +0.438%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:20
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -13.49%E -8.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 08:05
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.43%E -6.64%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -15.94%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.88%E -5.65%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -11.94%E -6.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 08:06
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.88%E -5.65%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.17%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -15.94%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -17.93%E -5.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -10.91%E -6.31%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -17.16%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -20.34%E -6.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.26%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.23%-1.0%2026-05-17 08:06
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40