Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Nürnberg v Hannover 96

Início: 2026-09-11 16:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Hannover 96

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Previsão 36.16%2.77odd justa
EV -4.18%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -2.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.63%36.18%36.15%37.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.36%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hannover 96 (Visitante)

Previsão 38.40%2.60odd justa
EV -3.63%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -2.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.31%38.45%38.37%40.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.392.402.5145.45%41.80%41.67%39.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.44%3.93odd justa
EV -0.769%
Vantagem -0.197%
Kelly -0.265%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.87%25.37%25.48%26.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.633.653.9029.41%27.52%27.43%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: 1. FC Nürnberg (Local): 36.16%; Hannover 96 (Visitante): 38.40%; Empate: 25.44%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.93. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.90, com valor esperado de -0.769%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.13%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 09:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.13%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 09:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.67%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.43%EV -5.55%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -7.13%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 08:44
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 08:44
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -2.04%E -0.530%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:00
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.31%E -0.872%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.62%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -0.769%E -0.197%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 19:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:35
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 02:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:34
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:34
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:32
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:34
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -0.769%E -0.197%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:25
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.99%EV -6.71%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.63%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.98%EV -2.80%E -0.734%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 08:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.44%EV -7.07%E -2.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.80%EV -10.18%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 16:41
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.38%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.38%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -0.769%E -0.197%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 19:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.31%E -0.872%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 19:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.31%E -0.872%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 19:30
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 08:44
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 08:42
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:44
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -15.53%E -7.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 16:35
Suprabets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -8.15%E -3.21%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.10%EV -6.11%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 21:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 16:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.62%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 19:29
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 15:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.31%E -0.872%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 19:40
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -8.62%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -9.67%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:54
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:54
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:54
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -10.32%E -4.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.18%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -10.32%E -4.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.18%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 01:34
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:04
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 08:44
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%EV -13.61%E -6.05%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -12.13%E -4.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.06%EV -10.92%E -4.71%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -12.13%E -4.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.06%EV -10.92%E -4.71%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 01:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -12.13%E -4.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.06%EV -10.92%E -4.71%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 01:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 10:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.1%2026-09-09 16:56
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.06%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.47%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%3.4%2026-09-09 17:40