Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Nürnberg v Hannover 96

2026-09-11 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Previsão 35.50%2.82odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.11%35.65%35.57%37.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.532.522.7342.55%39.52%39.60%36.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hannover 96 (Visitante)

Previsão 38.55%2.59odd justa
EV +1.37%
Vantagem +0.523%
Kelly +0.843%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.56%38.42%38.46%39.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.432.402.6345.45%41.19%41.67%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.95%3.85odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.363%
Kelly -0.492%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.55%25.94%25.97%27.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.523.553.8030.30%28.41%28.17%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: 1. FC Nürnberg (Local): 35.50%; Hannover 96 (Visitante): 38.55%; Empate: 25.95%. Para Hannover 96 (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.59. 8 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.63, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.37%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:04
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -14.80%E -6.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -15.51%E -6.52%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -15.51%E -6.52%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -16.57%E -7.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -4.41%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -16.57%E -7.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -4.41%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -16.57%E -7.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -4.41%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.68%E -0.714%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.93%EV -3.08%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -5.95%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.98%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Suprabets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -5.21%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -9.94%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:04
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 00:23
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 00:24
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -8.65%E -3.65%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -8.65%E -3.65%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:03
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 02:10
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.35%E -4.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.27%E -5.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -14.80%E -6.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -13.27%E -5.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-05 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.35%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.27%EV -14.04%E -6.30%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.38%EV -13.84%E -4.17%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.81%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.21%EV -14.43%E -6.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -15.20%E -6.91%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.01%EV -13.02%E -5.31%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -15.20%E -6.91%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 34.55%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%16.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 31.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.57%1.60I 62.50%NM 32.90%89.9%2026-09-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 31.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.57%1.60I 62.50%NM 32.90%89.9%2026-09-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 31.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.57%1.60I 62.50%NM 32.90%89.9%2026-09-05 23:35