Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Nürnberg v Hannover 96

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-11 16:30 UTC

Score final : 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Hannover 96

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Prévision 36.16%2.77cote équitable
EV -4.18%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -2.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.63%36.18%36.15%37.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.36%39.22%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hannover 96 (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.40%2.60cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.31%38.45%38.37%40.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.392.402.5145.45%41.80%41.67%39.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.44%3.93cote équitable
EV -0.769%
Avantage -0.197%
Kelly -0.265%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.87%25.37%25.48%26.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.653.9029.41%27.52%27.43%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : 1. FC Nürnberg (Local) : 36.16% ; Hannover 96 (Visiteur) : 38.40% ; Match nul : 25.44%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.93. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.90, pour une espérance de -0.769% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.13%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 09:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.13%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 09:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.67%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.43%EV -5.55%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -7.13%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 08:44
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 08:44
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -2.04%E -0.530%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:00
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.31%E -0.872%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.62%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -0.769%E -0.197%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 19:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:35
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 02:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:34
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:34
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:32
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:34
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -0.769%E -0.197%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:25
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.99%EV -6.71%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.63%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.98%EV -2.80%E -0.734%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 08:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.44%EV -7.07%E -2.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.80%EV -10.18%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 16:41
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.38%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.38%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -0.769%E -0.197%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 19:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.31%E -0.872%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 19:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.31%E -0.872%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 19:30
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 08:44
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.67%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 08:42
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:44
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -15.53%E -7.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 16:35
Suprabets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -8.15%E -3.21%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -7.47%E -3.10%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.10%EV -6.11%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 21:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 16:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.62%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 19:29
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 15:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.31%E -0.872%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 19:40
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -8.62%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -9.67%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:54
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:54
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:54
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -10.32%E -4.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.18%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -10.32%E -4.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.18%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 01:34
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:04
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 08:44
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%EV -13.61%E -6.05%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -8.40%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -12.13%E -4.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.06%EV -10.92%E -4.71%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -12.13%E -4.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.06%EV -10.92%E -4.71%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 01:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -12.13%E -4.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.06%EV -10.92%E -4.71%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 01:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -11.69%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -13.49%E -3.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 10:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.1%2026-09-09 16:56
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.06%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.47%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%3.4%2026-09-09 17:40