Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Nürnberg v Hannover 96

2026-09-11 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Prévision 35.50%2.82cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.11%35.65%35.57%37.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.532.522.7342.55%39.52%39.60%36.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hannover 96 (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.55%2.59cote équitable
EV +1.37%
Avantage +0.523%
Kelly +0.843%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.56%38.42%38.46%39.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.402.6345.45%41.19%41.67%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.95%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.363%
Kelly -0.492%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.55%25.94%25.97%27.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.523.553.8030.30%28.41%28.17%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : 1. FC Nürnberg (Local) : 35.50% ; Hannover 96 (Visiteur) : 38.55% ; Match nul : 25.95%. Pour Hannover 96 (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.59. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.63, pour une espérance positive de +1.37%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:04
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -14.80%E -6.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -15.51%E -6.52%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -15.51%E -6.52%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -16.57%E -7.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -4.41%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -16.57%E -7.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -4.41%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -16.57%E -7.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -4.41%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.68%E -0.714%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.93%EV -3.08%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -5.95%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.98%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Suprabets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -5.21%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -9.94%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:04
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 00:23
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 00:24
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -8.65%E -3.65%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -8.65%E -3.65%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:03
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 02:10
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.35%E -4.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.27%E -5.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -14.80%E -6.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -13.27%E -5.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-05 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.35%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.27%EV -14.04%E -6.30%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.38%EV -13.84%E -4.17%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.81%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.21%EV -14.43%E -6.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -15.20%E -6.91%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.01%EV -13.02%E -5.31%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -15.20%E -6.91%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 34.55%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%16.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 31.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.57%1.60I 62.50%NM 32.90%89.9%2026-09-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 31.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.57%1.60I 62.50%NM 32.90%89.9%2026-09-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 31.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.57%1.60I 62.50%NM 32.90%89.9%2026-09-05 23:35