StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

1. FC Nürnberg v Hannover 96

2026-09-11 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

1. FC Nürnberg (Heim)

Prognose 35.50%2.82faire Quote
EV -3.08%
Vorteil -1.13%
Kelly -1.78%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.11%35.65%35.57%37.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.352.532.522.7342.55%39.52%39.60%36.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Hannover 96 (Auswärts)

Prognose 38.55%2.59faire Quote
EV +1.37%
Vorteil +0.523%
Kelly +0.843%
Wachstum +0.012%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.56%38.42%38.46%39.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.432.402.6345.45%41.19%41.67%38.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.95%3.85faire Quote
EV -1.38%
Vorteil -0.363%
Kelly -0.492%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.55%25.94%25.97%27.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.523.553.8030.30%28.41%28.17%26.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: 1. FC Nürnberg (Heim): 35.50%; Hannover 96 (Auswärts): 38.55%; Unentschieden: 25.95%. Für Hannover 96 (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.59. 8 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.63 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.37%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:04
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -11.96%E -4.82%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.37%E +0.523%K +0.843%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -14.80%E -6.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -1.71%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -15.51%E -6.52%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -15.51%E -6.52%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -16.57%E -7.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -4.41%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -16.57%E -7.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -4.41%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -16.57%E -7.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -4.41%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.68%E -0.714%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.56%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.93%EV -3.08%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -5.95%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.98%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Suprabets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -5.21%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -9.94%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:04
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 00:23
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 00:24
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.26%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -8.65%E -3.65%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -8.65%E -3.65%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:03
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 02:10
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.35%E -4.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.27%E -5.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -14.80%E -6.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -13.27%E -5.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-05 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.35%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.27%EV -14.04%E -6.30%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.38%EV -13.84%E -4.17%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.81%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.21%EV -14.43%E -6.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -15.20%E -6.91%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.01%EV -13.02%E -5.31%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -15.20%E -6.91%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 34.55%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%16.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 31.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.57%1.60I 62.50%NM 32.90%89.9%2026-09-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 31.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.57%1.60I 62.50%NM 32.90%89.9%2026-09-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 31.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.57%1.60I 62.50%NM 32.90%89.9%2026-09-05 23:35