A Escola das Odds

1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden

Início: 2026-04-11 11:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Previsão 50.16%1.99odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -0.858%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.62%50.08%50.14%50.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.861.851.9657.80%53.78%54.05%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dynamo Dresden (Visitante)

Previsão 25.66%3.90odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -0.654%
Kelly -0.887%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.70%25.69%25.67%26.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.533.553.8031.25%28.35%28.17%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.18%4.14odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.274%
Kelly -0.362%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.61%24.23%24.20%26.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.723.754.0931.25%26.87%26.67%24.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -1.68%E -0.858%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.40%EV -3.69%E -1.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -4.28%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.66%EV -1.12%E -0.274%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 10:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 11:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:00
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.73%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.17%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 10:59
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:00
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 10:59
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:00
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.94%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.76%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:56
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 10:59
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:00
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.38%E -4.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -6.70%E -3.60%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -16.59%E -4.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 10:59
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.42%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -4.75%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 10:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -16.59%E -4.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -16.59%E -4.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 11:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:00
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:59
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -9.71%E -5.39%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.71%E -5.39%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.71%E -5.39%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.19%EV -10.71%E -6.02%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -11.03%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -11.21%E -6.34%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 10:59
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 48.04%EV -11.21%E -6.34%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.88%E -5.59%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.38%EV -19.01%E -5.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -11.71%E -6.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -12.22%E -6.98%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -13.22%E -7.64%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -22.64%E -7.07%K -10.29%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-11 10:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.14%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-04-11 11:00