مدرسة الاحتمالات

1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden

البداية: 2026-04-11 11:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

1. FC Nürnberg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.16%1.99السعر العادل
EV -1.68%
الأفضلية -0.858%
Kelly -1.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.62%50.08%50.14%50.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.861.851.9657.80%53.78%54.05%51.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Dynamo Dresden (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.66%3.90السعر العادل
EV -2.48%
الأفضلية -0.654%
Kelly -0.887%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.70%25.69%25.67%26.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.533.553.8031.25%28.35%28.17%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.18%4.14السعر العادل
EV -1.12%
الأفضلية -0.274%
Kelly -0.362%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.61%24.23%24.20%26.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.723.754.0931.25%26.87%26.67%24.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -1.68%E -0.858%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.40%EV -3.69%E -1.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -4.28%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.66%EV -1.12%E -0.274%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 10:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 11:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:00
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.73%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.17%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 10:59
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:00
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 10:59
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:00
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.94%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.76%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:56
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 10:59
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:00
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.38%E -4.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -6.70%E -3.60%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -16.59%E -4.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 10:59
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.42%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -4.75%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 10:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -16.59%E -4.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -16.59%E -4.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 11:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:00
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:59
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -9.71%E -5.39%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.71%E -5.39%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.71%E -5.39%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.19%EV -10.71%E -6.02%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -11.03%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -11.21%E -6.34%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 10:59
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 48.04%EV -11.21%E -6.34%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.88%E -5.59%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.38%EV -19.01%E -5.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -11.71%E -6.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -12.22%E -6.98%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -13.22%E -7.64%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -22.64%E -7.07%K -10.29%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-11 10:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.14%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-04-11 11:00