Die Schule der Quoten

1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-11 11:02 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

1. FC Nürnberg (Heim)

Prognose 50.16%1.99faire Quote
EV -1.68%
Vorteil -0.858%
Kelly -1.75%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.96

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.62%50.08%50.14%50.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.731.861.851.9657.80%53.78%54.05%51.02%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Dynamo Dresden (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.66%3.90faire Quote
EV -2.48%
Vorteil -0.654%
Kelly -0.887%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.70%25.69%25.67%26.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.533.553.8031.25%28.35%28.17%26.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.18%4.14faire Quote
EV -1.12%
Vorteil -0.274%
Kelly -0.362%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.61%24.23%24.20%26.38%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.723.754.0931.25%26.87%26.67%24.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -1.68%E -0.858%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.40%EV -3.69%E -1.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -4.28%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.66%EV -1.12%E -0.274%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 10:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 11:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:00
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.73%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.17%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 10:59
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:00
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -4.19%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 10:59
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:00
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.94%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.76%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:56
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 10:59
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:00
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -6.20%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.38%E -4.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -6.70%E -3.60%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -16.59%E -4.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 10:59
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.42%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -4.75%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 10:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -16.59%E -4.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -16.59%E -4.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 11:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:00
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.71%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:59
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -9.71%E -5.39%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.71%E -5.39%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.71%E -5.39%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.19%EV -10.71%E -6.02%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -11.03%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -11.21%E -6.34%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 10:59
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 48.04%EV -11.21%E -6.34%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.88%E -5.59%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.38%EV -19.01%E -5.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -11.71%E -6.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -14.17%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -12.22%E -6.98%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -13.22%E -7.64%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -22.64%E -7.07%K -10.29%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-11 10:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.14%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-04-11 11:00