Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.23
assuming max odds 3.21
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 44.17%; Holstein Kiel (Visit): 31.07%; Draw: 24.76%. For Holstein Kiel (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.21, with an expected value of -0.254%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -1.50%E -0.673%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.25%EV -8.64%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -2.83%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -0.254%E -0.079%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.48%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.87%EV -5.85%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.90%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 11:21 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.12%EV -5.92%E -2.78%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -0.565%E -0.176%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -0.565%E -0.176%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.974%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 11:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 11:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 11:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -8.57%E -4.14%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.16%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.974%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 11:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.44%EV -9.89%E -4.85%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.78%E -5.33%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.78%E -5.33%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 11:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.46%EV -13.87%E -7.11%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -14.59%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |