The School of Odds
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1. FC Magdeburg v Holstein Kiel

2026-08-30 11:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Prediction 45.76%2.19fair odd
EV -4.82%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.62%45.79%45.68%46.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.0853.19%50.12%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holstein Kiel (Visit)

Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -0.977%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%28.30%27.56%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.293.5033.33%30.83%30.40%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.37%3.79fair odd
EV +10.75%
Edge +2.56%
Kelly +3.36%
Growth +0.361%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%25.91%26.76%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.404.2031.25%28.93%29.41%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 45.76%; Holstein Kiel (Visit): 27.87%; Draw: 26.37%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.20, producing a positive expected value of +10.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -16.38%E -5.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV +10.75%E +2.56%K +3.36%G +0.361%5.9%2026-08-17 12:50
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV +1.52%E +0.394%K +0.532%G +0.008%4.8%2026-08-17 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -7.11%E -3.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.903%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 13:29
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.903%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 13:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 14:44
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -9.86%E -5.00%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.72%EV -11.92%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.77%E -5.52%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-17 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.77%E -5.52%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-17 13:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 13:09
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 14:48
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.76%EV -7.11%E -3.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 12:48
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.44%E -0.698%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 12:49
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 12:49
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 12:49
Suprabets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 27.87%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 12:49
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-17 12:50
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -10.77%E -5.52%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -16.38%E -5.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-17 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -12.14%E -6.32%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-17 12:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -13.06%E -6.87%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -14.99%E -4.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-17 12:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.86%EV -13.97%E -7.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.77%EV -15.10%E -4.69%K -6.80%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-17 12:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.62%E -4.88%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-17 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.62%E -4.88%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-17 12:50
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.62%E -4.88%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-17 12:49
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.62%E -4.88%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-17 12:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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