Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Magdeburg v Holstein Kiel

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC

Score final : 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Holstein Kiel

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Prévision 44.17%2.26cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.52%44.23%44.01%46.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.092.102.2351.28%47.90%47.62%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Holstein Kiel (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.07%3.22cote équitable
EV -0.254%
Avantage -0.079%
Kelly -0.115%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.77%31.12%31.02%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.962.953.2135.71%33.75%33.90%31.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.76%4.04cote équitable
EV -0.974%
Avantage -0.244%
Kelly -0.325%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.58%24.65%24.97%25.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.723.734.0028.99%26.89%26.85%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : 1. FC Magdeburg (Local) : 44.17% ; Holstein Kiel (Visiteur) : 31.07% ; Match nul : 24.76%. Pour Holstein Kiel (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.22. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.21, pour une espérance de -0.254% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -1.50%E -0.673%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.25%EV -8.64%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -2.83%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -0.254%E -0.079%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 11:15
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 11:20
Suprabets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.48%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.87%EV -5.85%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.90%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:21
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.12%EV -5.92%E -2.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 11:20
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -0.565%E -0.176%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -0.565%E -0.176%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:15
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.974%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 11:20
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 11:19
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:49
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 11:23
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 11:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 11:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 11:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -8.57%E -4.14%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.16%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.974%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 11:25
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.44%EV -9.89%E -4.85%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 10:50
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.78%E -5.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.78%E -5.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:24
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.46%EV -13.87%E -7.11%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -14.59%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-30 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-08-30 11:25