StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

1. FC Magdeburg v Holstein Kiel

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC

Slutresultat: 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Holstein Kiel

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

1. FC Magdeburg (Hemma)

Prognos 44.17%2.26rättvist odds
EV -1.50%
Fördel -0.673%
Kelly -1.22%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.52%44.23%44.01%46.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.092.102.2351.28%47.90%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Holstein Kiel (Borta)

Prognos 31.07%3.22rättvist odds
EV -0.254%
Fördel -0.079%
Kelly -0.115%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.77%31.12%31.02%33.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.802.962.953.2135.71%33.75%33.90%31.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.76%4.04rättvist odds
EV -0.974%
Fördel -0.244%
Kelly -0.325%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.58%24.65%24.97%25.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.453.723.734.0028.99%26.89%26.85%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: 1. FC Magdeburg (Hemma): 44.17%; Holstein Kiel (Borta): 31.07%; Oavgjort: 24.76%. För Holstein Kiel (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.22. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.21, med väntevärdet -0.254%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -1.50%E -0.673%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.25%EV -8.64%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -2.83%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -0.254%E -0.079%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 11:15
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 11:20
Suprabets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.48%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.87%EV -5.85%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.90%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:21
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.12%EV -5.92%E -2.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 11:20
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -0.565%E -0.176%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -0.565%E -0.176%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:15
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.974%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 11:20
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 11:19
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:49
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 11:23
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 11:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 11:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 11:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -8.57%E -4.14%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.16%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.974%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 11:25
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.44%EV -9.89%E -4.85%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 10:50
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.78%E -5.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.78%E -5.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:24
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.46%EV -13.87%E -7.11%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -14.59%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-30 11:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-08-30 11:25