Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Magdeburg v Holstein Kiel

Início: 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Holstein Kiel

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Previsão 44.17%2.26odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.673%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.52%44.23%44.01%46.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.092.102.2351.28%47.90%47.62%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Holstein Kiel (Visitante)

Previsão 31.07%3.22odd justa
EV -0.254%
Vantagem -0.079%
Kelly -0.115%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.77%31.12%31.02%33.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.962.953.2135.71%33.75%33.90%31.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.76%4.04odd justa
EV -0.974%
Vantagem -0.244%
Kelly -0.325%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.58%24.65%24.97%25.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.723.734.0028.99%26.89%26.85%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 44.17%; Holstein Kiel (Visitante): 31.07%; Empate: 24.76%. Para Holstein Kiel (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.22. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.21, com valor esperado de -0.254%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -1.50%E -0.673%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.25%EV -8.64%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -2.83%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -0.254%E -0.079%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 11:15
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 11:20
Suprabets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.48%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.87%EV -5.85%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.90%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:21
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.12%EV -5.92%E -2.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 11:20
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -0.565%E -0.176%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -0.565%E -0.176%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:15
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.974%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 11:20
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 11:19
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:49
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:50
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 11:23
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 11:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 11:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 11:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -8.57%E -4.14%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.16%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.974%E -0.244%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 11:25
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:25
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.44%EV -9.89%E -4.85%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 10:50
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.78%E -5.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.78%E -5.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 11:24
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.46%EV -13.87%E -7.11%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -14.59%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-30 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-08-30 11:25