Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.40
assuming max odds 1.90
assuming max odds 3.99
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local): 23.40%; Arminia Bielefeld (Visit): 51.83%; Draw: 24.77%. For 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV +2.95%E +0.670%K +0.867%G +0.026% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.21%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV +2.95%E +0.670%K +0.867%G +0.026% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.21%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.85%EV +1.54%E +0.355%K +0.462%G +0.007% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.89%EV -8.78%E -4.99%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.26%EV -3.13%E -0.801%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.83%EV -0.797%E -0.188%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.26%EV -1.15%E -0.288%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.73%E -0.413%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -7.23%E -4.04%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -6.19%E -3.42%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.49%EV -9.08%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.26%E -4.67%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.46%EV -1.53%E -0.803%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.38%E -0.866%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 16:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.26%E -4.67%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -6.19%E -3.42%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.98%EV -10.85%E -6.31%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -11.56%E -3.06%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -13.45%E -8.05%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -18.24%E -5.53%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.87%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.87%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70%EV -12.93%E -7.70%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -14.60%E -4.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -10.85%E -6.31%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -16.94%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -2.04%E -1.08%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 15:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88% | 1.8% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |