L’École des cotes

1. FC Kaiserslautern v Arminia Bielefeld

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 16:30 UTC

Score final : 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2–0 Arminia Bielefeld

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Prévision 23.40%4.27cote équitable
EV +2.95%
Avantage +0.670%
Kelly +0.867%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.53%23.49%23.41%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.913.854.4028.17%25.58%25.97%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arminia Bielefeld (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.83%1.93cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.803%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.78%51.71%51.77%53.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.791.801.9059.88%55.84%55.56%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.77%4.04cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.288%
Kelly -0.384%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.79%24.79%24.82%25.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.703.9930.30%27.04%27.03%25.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV +2.95%E +0.670%K +0.867%G +0.026%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.21%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 16:24
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV +2.95%E +0.670%K +0.867%G +0.026%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.21%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 16:24
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 21.85%EV +1.54%E +0.355%K +0.462%G +0.007%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.89%EV -8.78%E -4.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.26%EV -3.13%E -0.801%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:25
Pinnacle4.24I 23.58%NM 22.83%EV -0.797%E -0.188%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.26%EV -1.15%E -0.288%K -0.384%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 16:20
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.73%E -0.413%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -7.23%E -4.04%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:24
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:19
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 16:20
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 16:19
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 16:24
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -6.19%E -3.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.49%EV -9.08%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:20
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.26%E -4.67%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:24
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.46%EV -1.53%E -0.803%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 16:25
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 16:24
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:25
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.38%E -0.866%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:23
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.26%E -4.67%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:24
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:19
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 16:24
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 16:24
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:24
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:24
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:25
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:24
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:20
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:24
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:25
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:24
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:24
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:24
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:25
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:24
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:25
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -6.19%E -3.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 16:24
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 16:19
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.98%EV -10.85%E -6.31%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:24
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:19
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:25
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 16:19
Betclic (FR)3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -11.56%E -3.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-08 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -13.45%E -8.05%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -18.24%E -5.53%K -7.93%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-08 16:24
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 16:19
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:19
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.87%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 16:25
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.87%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 16:25
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70%EV -12.93%E -7.70%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-08 16:24
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -14.60%E -4.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 16:24
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:19
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -10.85%E -6.31%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 16:24
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -16.94%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -2.04%E -1.08%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 15:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-05-08 16:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-05-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-05-08 16:25
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-05-08 16:24
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.8%2026-05-08 16:25
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-05-08 16:25