La scuola delle quote

1. FC Kaiserslautern v Arminia Bielefeld

Inizio: 2026-05-08 16:30 UTC

Finale: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2–0 Arminia Bielefeld

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Casa)

Previsione 23.40%4.27quota equa
EV +2.95%
Vantaggio +0.670%
Kelly +0.867%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.53%23.49%23.41%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.913.854.4028.17%25.58%25.97%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arminia Bielefeld (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.83%1.93quota equa
EV -1.53%
Vantaggio -0.803%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.78%51.71%51.77%53.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.791.801.9059.88%55.84%55.56%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.77%4.04quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.288%
Kelly -0.384%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.79%24.79%24.82%25.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.703.703.9930.30%27.04%27.03%25.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV +2.95%E +0.670%K +0.867%G +0.026%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.21%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 16:24
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV +2.95%E +0.670%K +0.867%G +0.026%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.21%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 16:24
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 21.85%EV +1.54%E +0.355%K +0.462%G +0.007%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.89%EV -8.78%E -4.99%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.26%EV -3.13%E -0.801%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:25
Pinnacle4.24I 23.58%NM 22.83%EV -0.797%E -0.188%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.26%EV -1.15%E -0.288%K -0.384%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 16:20
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.73%E -0.413%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -7.23%E -4.04%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:24
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:19
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 16:20
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 16:19
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 16:24
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -6.19%E -3.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.49%EV -9.08%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:20
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.07%E -0.993%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.26%E -4.67%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:24
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.46%EV -1.53%E -0.803%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 16:25
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 16:24
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:25
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.38%E -0.866%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:23
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.26%E -4.67%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:24
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:19
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 16:24
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 16:24
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:24
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:24
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:25
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:24
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:20
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:24
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:25
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:24
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:24
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:24
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:25
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:24
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:25
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:24
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -6.19%E -3.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 16:24
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 16:19
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.98%EV -10.85%E -6.31%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:24
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:19
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:25
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 16:19
Betclic (FR)3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -11.56%E -3.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-08 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -13.45%E -8.05%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -18.24%E -5.53%K -7.93%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-08 16:24
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 16:19
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -5.67%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 16:19
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.87%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 16:25
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.87%EV -9.30%E -5.31%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 16:25
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70%EV -12.93%E -7.70%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-08 16:24
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -14.60%E -4.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -10.34%E -5.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 16:24
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -5.15%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:19
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -10.85%E -6.31%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 16:24
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -16.94%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -2.04%E -1.08%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 15:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-05-08 16:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-05-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-05-08 16:25
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-05-08 16:24
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.8%2026-05-08 16:25
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-05-08 16:25