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Borussia Dortmund v Elversberg

2026-11-07 14:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Dortmund (Local)

Prediction 72.77%1.37fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -12.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.88%72.94%72.80%74.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.291.3281.97%78.37%77.82%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elversberg (Visit)

Prediction 11.80%8.47fair odd
EV +12.12%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.173%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.05%11.66%11.72%12.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.757.997.609.5014.81%12.52%13.16%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.43%6.48fair odd
EV +3.36%
Edge +0.502%
Kelly +0.590%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 6.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.16%15.39%15.49%16.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.996.006.7018.87%16.71%16.67%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Borussia Dortmund (Local): 72.77%; Elversberg (Visit): 11.80%; Draw: 15.43%. For Elversberg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.47. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.50, producing a positive expected value of +12.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.65%EV -3.94%E -2.99%K -12.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.37%EV +12.12%E +1.28%K +1.43%G +0.173%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.98%EV +1.51%E +0.230%K +0.271%G +0.004%1.5%2026-10-25 21:19
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +12.12%E +1.28%K +1.43%G +0.173%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 20:40
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.36%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.15%EV +9.76%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.115%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.48%EV -5.89%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV +9.17%E +0.991%K +1.11%G +0.102%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 20:39
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.43%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.19%EV +8.58%E +0.932%K +1.05%G +0.090%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -5.89%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.27%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.53%EV +7.40%E +0.813%K +0.913%G +0.068%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -2.81%E -0.446%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 20:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.68%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV +0.318%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.16%EV +3.36%E +0.502%K +0.590%G +0.020%5.4%2026-10-25 21:59
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.85%E -5.35%K -24.48%G +0.000%8.06I 12.41%NM 11.65%EV -4.88%E -0.605%K -0.691%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.00%EV -3.42%E -0.547%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 21:27
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 20:59
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 21:27
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.48%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -11.29%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 21:27
picklebet_au🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.85%E -5.35%K -24.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 21:27
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.18%EV -9.76%E -7.87%K -40.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -8.53%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 21:26
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.45%EV -11.22%E -9.20%K -51.00%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.48%EV -9.12%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-25 20:59
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.278%E +0.043%K +0.051%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 21:20
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.24%EV -4.67%E -3.57%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.58%E -0.573%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 21:20
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 20:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 20:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 20:58
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 21:01
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 21:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 21:01
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -11.29%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.46%EV -10.49%E -8.53%K -45.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.56%EV -17.39%E -2.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.98%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 21:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.88%EV -11.22%E -9.20%K -51.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.81%EV -20.34%E -3.01%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.31%EV -18.23%E -3.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-25 21:27
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.57%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.40%4.1%2026-10-25 20:40
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 70.25%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.60%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.14%16.7%2026-10-25 21:27