默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Borussia Dortmund v Elversberg

2026-11-07 14:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Borussia Dortmund (主队)

预测 72.77%1.37公平赔率
EV -3.94%
优势 -2.99%
Kelly -12.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.32

博彩公司预测分布
70.88%72.94%72.80%74.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.281.291.3281.97%78.37%77.82%75.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

Elversberg (客队)

预测 11.80%8.47公平赔率
EV +12.12%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +1.43%
增长率 +0.173%

假设最高赔率为 9.50

博彩公司预测分布
10.05%11.66%11.72%12.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.757.997.609.5014.81%12.52%13.16%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.43%6.48公平赔率
EV +3.36%
优势 +0.502%
Kelly +0.590%
增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 6.70

博彩公司预测分布
14.16%15.39%15.49%16.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.305.996.006.7018.87%16.71%16.67%14.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Borussia Dortmund (主队):72.77%;Elversberg (客队):11.80%;平局:15.43%。 对于“Elversberg (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.47。 有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为9.50,由此产生+12.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.65%EV -3.94%E -2.99%K -12.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.37%EV +12.12%E +1.28%K +1.43%G +0.173%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.98%EV +1.51%E +0.230%K +0.271%G +0.004%1.5%2026-10-25 21:19
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +12.12%E +1.28%K +1.43%G +0.173%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 20:40
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.36%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.15%EV +9.76%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.115%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.48%EV -5.89%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV +9.17%E +0.991%K +1.11%G +0.102%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 20:39
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.43%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.19%EV +8.58%E +0.932%K +1.05%G +0.090%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -5.89%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.27%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.53%EV +7.40%E +0.813%K +0.913%G +0.068%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -2.81%E -0.446%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 20:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.68%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV +0.318%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.16%EV +3.36%E +0.502%K +0.590%G +0.020%5.4%2026-10-25 21:59
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.85%E -5.35%K -24.48%G +0.000%8.06I 12.41%NM 11.65%EV -4.88%E -0.605%K -0.691%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.00%EV -3.42%E -0.547%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 21:27
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 20:59
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 21:27
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.48%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -11.29%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 21:27
picklebet_au🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.85%E -5.35%K -24.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 21:27
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.18%EV -9.76%E -7.87%K -40.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -8.53%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 21:26
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.45%EV -11.22%E -9.20%K -51.00%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.48%EV -9.12%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-25 20:59
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.278%E +0.043%K +0.051%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 21:20
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.24%EV -4.67%E -3.57%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.58%E -0.573%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 21:20
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 20:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 20:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 20:58
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 21:01
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 21:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 21:01
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -11.29%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.46%EV -10.49%E -8.53%K -45.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.56%EV -17.39%E -2.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.98%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 21:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.88%EV -11.22%E -9.20%K -51.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.81%EV -20.34%E -3.01%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.31%EV -18.23%E -3.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-25 21:27
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.57%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.40%4.1%2026-10-25 20:40
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 70.25%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.60%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.14%16.7%2026-10-25 21:27