Langue:Français
Borussia Dortmund v Elversberg
Résultat du match
Borussia Dortmund (Local)
Prévision 72.77%1.37cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -2.99%
Kelly -12.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.88%72.94%72.80%74.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.281.291.3281.97%78.37%77.82%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Elversberg (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.80%8.47cote équitable
EV +12.12%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.173%
avec la cote maximale 9.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.05%11.66%11.72%12.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.757.997.609.5014.81%12.52%13.16%10.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 15.43%6.48cote équitable
EV +3.36%
Avantage +0.502%
Kelly +0.590%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 6.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.16%15.39%15.49%16.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.305.996.006.7018.87%16.71%16.67%14.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Borussia Dortmund (Local) : 72.77% ; Elversberg (Visiteur) : 11.80% ; Match nul : 15.43%. Pour Elversberg (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 8.47. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 9.50, pour une espérance positive de +12.12%.
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.65%EV -3.94%E -2.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.37%EV +12.12%E +1.28%K +1.43%G +0.173% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.98%EV +1.51%E +0.230%K +0.271%G +0.004% | 1.5% | 2026-10-25 21:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +12.12%E +1.28%K +1.43%G +0.173% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.36%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.15%EV +9.76%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.115% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.48%EV -5.89%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV +9.17%E +0.991%K +1.11%G +0.102% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-25 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.43%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.19%EV +8.58%E +0.932%K +1.05%G +0.090% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -5.89%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.27%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.53%EV +7.40%E +0.813%K +0.913%G +0.068% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -2.81%E -0.446%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.68%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV +0.318%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.16%EV +3.36%E +0.502%K +0.590%G +0.020% | 5.4% | 2026-10-25 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.85%E -5.35%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 8.06I 12.41%NM 11.65%EV -4.88%E -0.605%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.00%EV -3.42%E -0.547%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.48%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -11.29%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.85%E -5.35%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.18%EV -9.76%E -7.87%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -8.53%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-25 21:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.45%EV -11.22%E -9.20%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.48%EV -9.12%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.278%E +0.043%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.24%EV -4.67%E -3.57%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.58%E -0.573%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 20:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 20:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 20:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 21:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 21:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 21:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-25 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -11.29%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.46%EV -10.49%E -8.53%K -45.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.56%EV -17.39%E -2.48%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.98%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-25 21:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.88%EV -11.22%E -9.20%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.81%EV -20.34%E -3.01%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.31%EV -18.23%E -3.44%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (2)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.57% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.40% | 4.1% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.25% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.60% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.14% | 16.7% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |