Idioma:Español
Borussia Dortmund v Elversberg
Resultado del partido
Borussia Dortmund (Local)
Predicción 72.77%1.37momio equitativo
EV -3.94%
Ventaja -2.99%
Kelly -12.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.88%72.94%72.80%74.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.291.3281.97%78.37%77.82%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elversberg (Visitante)
Predicción 11.80%8.47momio equitativo
EV +12.12%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.173%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.05%11.66%11.72%12.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.757.997.609.5014.81%12.52%13.16%10.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 15.43%6.48momio equitativo
EV +3.36%
Ventaja +0.502%
Kelly +0.590%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.16%15.39%15.49%16.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.305.996.006.7018.87%16.71%16.67%14.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Borussia Dortmund (Local): 72.77%; Elversberg (Visitante): 11.80%; Empate: 15.43%. Para Elversberg (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 8.47. 7 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 9.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +12.12%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.65%EV -3.94%E -2.99%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.37%EV +12.12%E +1.28%K +1.43%G +0.173% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.98%EV +1.51%E +0.230%K +0.271%G +0.004% | 1.5% | 2026-10-25 21:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +12.12%E +1.28%K +1.43%G +0.173% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.36%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.15%EV +9.76%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.115% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.48%EV -5.89%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV +9.17%E +0.991%K +1.11%G +0.102% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-25 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.43%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.19%EV +8.58%E +0.932%K +1.05%G +0.090% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -5.89%E -0.966%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.27%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.53%EV +7.40%E +0.813%K +0.913%G +0.068% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -2.81%E -0.446%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.68%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV +0.318%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.16%EV +3.36%E +0.502%K +0.590%G +0.020% | 5.4% | 2026-10-25 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.85%E -5.35%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 8.06I 12.41%NM 11.65%EV -4.88%E -0.605%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.00%EV -3.42%E -0.547%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.48%EV -7.58%E -5.97%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -11.29%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -6.85%E -5.35%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.58%E -0.698%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.18%EV -9.76%E -7.87%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -8.53%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-25 21:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.45%EV -11.22%E -9.20%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.48%EV -9.12%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.278%E +0.043%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.24%EV -4.67%E -3.57%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.58%E -0.573%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 20:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 20:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.40%E -4.15%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 20:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 21:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 21:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 21:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-25 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -8.31%E -6.59%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -11.48%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -11.29%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.46%EV -10.49%E -8.53%K -45.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.56%EV -17.39%E -2.48%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.98%EV -15.15%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-25 21:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.88%EV -11.22%E -9.20%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.81%EV -20.34%E -3.01%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.31%EV -18.23%E -3.44%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.57% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.40% | 4.1% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.25% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.60% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.14% | 16.7% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |