The School of Odds

Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

2026-08-29 13:30 — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: Augsburg (Local)

Odds
1.8055.56%Min
1.9850.59%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.0947.85%Max
Consensus probabilities
45.69%2.189Min
48.61%2.057Max
47.51%2.105Mean
47.28%2.115Median
47.32%2.113IQM
47.48%2.106Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.09 under the IQM model: 47.32%

EV -1.11%Edge -0.532%Kelly -1.02%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: FC Schalke 04 (Visit)

Odds
2.9034.48%Min
3.2930.44%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.08%3.692Min
29.09%3.438Max
28.21%3.545Mean
28.37%3.525Median
28.34%3.528IQM
28.18%3.549Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.34%

EV -0.796%Edge -0.228%Kelly -0.319%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.4528.99%Min
3.7926.35%Mean
3.8326.14%Median
4.0324.81%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.64%4.231Min
26.76%3.737Max
24.28%4.118Mean
24.36%4.106Median
24.34%4.108IQM
24.34%4.108Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.03 under the IQM model: 24.34%

EV -1.91%Edge -0.473%Kelly -0.629%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAugsburg (Local) ▼FC Schalke 04 (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.09I 47.85% NM 47.11%EV -1.11% E -0.532% K -1.02% G +0.000%3.46I 28.90% NM 28.46%EV -1.93% E -0.558% K -0.785% G +0.000%4.03I 24.81% NM 24.43%EV -1.91% E -0.473% K -0.629% G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-04 02:35
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54% NM 47.03%EV -2.53% E -1.23% K -2.39% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 28.50%EV -3.63% E -1.07% K -1.51% G +0.000%3.96I 25.25% NM 24.47%EV -3.61% E -0.912% K -1.22% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 02:25
Coral2.05I 48.78% NM 46.03%EV -3.00% E -1.47% K -2.86% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.75%EV -3.63% E -1.07% K -1.51% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.21%EV -12.37% E -3.44% K -4.76% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78% NM 45.69%EV -3.00% E -1.47% K -2.86% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.55%EV -3.63% E -1.07% K -1.51% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.76%EV -14.81% E -4.23% K -5.92% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 14:10
Neds2.05I 48.78% NM 45.69%EV -3.00% E -1.47% K -2.86% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.55%EV -3.63% E -1.07% K -1.51% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.76%EV -14.81% E -4.23% K -5.92% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 14:15
SportsBet2.02I 49.50% NM 47.23%EV -4.42% E -2.19% K -4.34% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.91%EV -6.47% E -1.96% K -2.81% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.85%EV -2.64% E -0.659% K -0.879% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 11:25
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75% NM 47.47%EV -4.90% E -2.44% K -4.85% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 28.06%EV -3.63% E -1.07% K -1.51% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.47%EV -5.07% E -1.30% K -1.75% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 20:25
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00% NM 47.48%EV -5.37% E -2.68% K -5.37% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.78%EV -6.47% E -1.96% K -2.81% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.74%EV -2.64% E -0.659% K -0.879% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 14:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.27%EV -5.37% E -2.68% K -5.37% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.09%EV -7.88% E -2.43% K -3.50% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.64%EV -2.64% E -0.659% K -0.879% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 14:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00% NM 47.19%EV -5.37% E -2.68% K -5.37% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.60%EV -6.47% E -1.96% K -2.81% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.20%EV -5.07% E -1.30% K -1.75% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 14:35
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 46.99%EV -5.37% E -2.68% K -5.37% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.92%EV -7.88% E -2.43% K -3.50% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.10%EV -5.07% E -1.30% K -1.75% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28% NM 48.61%EV -7.74% E -3.97% K -8.14% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV -0.796% E -0.228% K -0.319% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.31%EV -5.07% E -1.30% K -1.75% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-03 17:45
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28% NM 47.37%EV -7.74% E -3.97% K -8.14% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.99%EV -6.47% E -1.96% K -2.81% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.63%EV -8.72% E -2.33% K -3.17% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-03 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28% NM 47.17%EV -7.74% E -3.97% K -8.14% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.30%EV -7.88% E -2.43% K -3.50% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.53%EV -8.72% E -2.33% K -3.17% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-03 16:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28% NM 47.11%EV -7.74% E -3.97% K -8.14% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.71%EV -9.30% E -2.91% K -4.23% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.18%EV -7.50% E -1.97% K -2.68% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 15:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28% NM 46.96%EV -7.74% E -3.97% K -8.14% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.62%EV -9.30% E -2.91% K -4.23% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.42%EV -8.72% E -2.33% K -3.17% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 12:05
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55% NM 47.39%EV -8.21% E -4.23% K -8.73% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.73%EV -9.30% E -2.91% K -4.23% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 23.88%EV -6.29% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 16:45
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48% NM 47.58%EV -11.52% E -6.16% K -13.24% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.70%EV -12.13% E -3.91% K -5.78% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.72%EV -8.72% E -2.33% K -3.17% G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76% NM 47.17%EV -11.99% E -6.45% K -13.95% G +0.000%3.12I 32.05% NM 28.12%EV -11.57% E -3.71% K -5.46% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 24.71%EV -13.59% E -3.83% K -5.33% G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-03 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35% NM 47.94%EV -12.94% E -7.03% K -15.40% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.56%EV -9.30% E -2.91% K -4.23% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.50%EV -12.37% E -3.44% K -4.76% G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-03 21:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56% NM 46.68%EV -14.83% E -8.24% K -18.54% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 28.97%EV -17.80% E -6.14% K -9.37% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 24.35%EV -16.02% E -4.64% K -6.54% G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-03 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerAugsburg (Local)FC Schalke 04 (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%3.00I 33.33%3.40I 29.41%16.5%2026-07-03 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%1.30I 76.92%1.01I 99.01%152.9%2026-07-03 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%1.30I 76.92%1.01I 99.01%152.9%2026-07-03 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%1.30I 76.92%1.01I 99.01%152.9%2026-07-03 15:45