Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.19
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Augsburg (Local): 44.76%; FC Schalke 04 (Visit): 29.85%; Draw: 25.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.74%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%EV +1.49%E +0.437%K +0.619%G +0.009% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.34%EV -1.48%E -0.381%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-14 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.50%E -0.454%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 07:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.61%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.50%E -0.454%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-14 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.50%E -0.454%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-10 17:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.56%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -5.29%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.56%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -5.29%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 01:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 04:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 04:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 04:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 04:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 04:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 04:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 04:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 04:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 04:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 04:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-07 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-16 17:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.25%EV -3.89%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 04:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.23%EV -1.98%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-28 11:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.82%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%EV +1.57%E +0.392%K +0.523%G +0.008% | 2.8% | 2026-07-10 14:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 08:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 04:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -8.69%E -4.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.36%EV -6.57%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.60%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-19 04:12 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +1.57%E +0.392%K +0.523%G +0.008% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 14:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 08:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-06 08:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-13 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-07 04:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-07 04:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-13 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-06 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-13 20:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-10 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-13 08:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 10:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 10:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.08%EV -12.72%E -6.52%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.95%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-13 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -11.82%E -6.00%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.04%EV -12.84%E -4.40%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-13 08:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -12.72%E -6.52%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.44%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-06 08:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.12%EV -15.85%E -8.43%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 29.56%EV -14.33%E -4.99%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.32%EV -14.94%E -4.46%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-07-16 06:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 11:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 11:48 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 11:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.44% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06% | 16.3% | 2026-07-16 04:45 |