The School of Odds

Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

2026-08-29 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

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Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Augsburg (Local)

Prediction 45.05%2.22fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.12%44.99%45.05%45.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.032.022.1351%49%50%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Schalke 04 (Visit)

Prediction 29.49%3.39fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.630%
Kelly -0.902%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.58%29.44%29.49%30.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.253.3233%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.46%3.93fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -0.966%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%25.57%25.46%26.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.623.653.8229%28%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.47%EV -4.05%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.17%EV -2.09%E -0.630%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.35%EV -2.72%E -0.713%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 17:25
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 06:05
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 06:05
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 11:29
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 01:59
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 17:31
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -10.81%E -5.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -10.81%E -5.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.