La scuola delle quote

Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

2026-08-29 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

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19 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Augsburg (Casa)

Previsione 45.05%2.22quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -1.90%
Kelly -3.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.12%44.99%45.05%45.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.032.022.1350.51%49.35%49.50%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Schalke 04 (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.49%3.39quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.630%
Kelly -0.902%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.58%29.44%29.49%30.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.203.253.3233.33%31.24%30.77%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.46%3.93quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -0.713%
Kelly -0.966%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.28%25.57%25.46%26.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.623.653.8228.99%27.61%27.40%26.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (19 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.47%EV -4.05%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.17%EV -2.09%E -0.630%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.35%EV -2.72%E -0.713%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 17:25
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 06:05
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 06:05
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 11:29
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 01:59
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 17:31
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -10.81%E -5.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -10.81%E -5.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.