Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Augsburg (Local)

Prévision 44.76%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.903%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.96%44.91%44.70%46.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.882.062.052.1953.19%48.51%48.78%45.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Schalke 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.85%3.35cote équitable
EV +1.49%
Avantage +0.437%
Kelly +0.619%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.44%29.77%29.95%30.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.873.153.133.4034.84%31.76%31.95%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.39%3.94cote équitable
EV +1.57%
Avantage +0.392%
Kelly +0.523%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.72%25.32%25.36%26.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.673.654.0029.85%27.24%27.40%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Augsburg (Local) : 44.76% ; FC Schalke 04 (Visiteur) : 29.85% ; Match nul : 25.39%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.94. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +1.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.74%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%EV +1.49%E +0.437%K +0.619%G +0.009%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.34%EV -1.48%E -0.381%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-14 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 12:59
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.50%E -0.454%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 07:54
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.61%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.50%E -0.454%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 15:24
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.50%E -0.454%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 17:07
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.56%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -5.29%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.56%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -5.29%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 21:19
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 01:59
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -9.59%E -4.75%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -2.99%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 17:31
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.25%EV -3.89%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 04:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.23%EV -1.98%E -0.903%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 11:39
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.82%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%EV +1.57%E +0.392%K +0.523%G +0.008%2.8%2026-07-10 14:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 08:19
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 04:15
Suprabets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -8.69%E -4.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.36%EV -6.57%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.60%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 04:12
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +1.57%E +0.392%K +0.523%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-10 14:15
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:29
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:29
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 14:14
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 14:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 08:20
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-06 08:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-13 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-07 04:35
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-13 10:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 11:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-13 20:10
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-10 14:15
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-10 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 08:19
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 10:34
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 10:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.08%EV -12.72%E -6.52%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.95%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-13 08:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -11.82%E -6.00%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.04%EV -12.84%E -4.40%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-13 08:19
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -12.72%E -6.52%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.44%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 08:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.12%EV -15.85%E -8.43%K -18.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 29.56%EV -14.33%E -4.99%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.32%EV -14.94%E -4.46%K -6.36%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-16 06:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%6.5%2026-07-21 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%6.5%2026-07-21 11:48
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-07-21 11:49
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 43.44%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%16.3%2026-07-16 04:45