The School of Odds

Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

2026-08-30 15:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Augsburg (Local)

Prediction 45.09%2.22fair odd
EV +0.995%
Edge +0.444%
Kelly +0.802%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.74%45.07%45.11%46.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.882.052.062.2453%49%49%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Schalke 04 (Visit)

Prediction 29.53%3.39fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.318%
Kelly -0.453%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.44%29.56%29.57%30.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.873.123.153.3535%32%32%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.38%3.94fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -0.710%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.72%25.37%25.33%26.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.643.653.8630%28%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.98%EV +0.995%E +0.444%K +0.802%G +0.008%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.50%EV -4.61%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.52%EV -2.03%E -0.526%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-16 20:50
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -6.97%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 20:50
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-16 20:52
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.32%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -11.40%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-16 20:50
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -1.07%E -0.318%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 01:20
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -1.07%E -0.318%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 01:44
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.61%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.54%E -0.770%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 20:50
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.40%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 20:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -11.40%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 00:20
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -7.12%E -3.46%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.69%EV -3.13%E -0.955%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.64%EV -6.85%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-16 20:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.54%E -0.770%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.55%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 20:50
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 01:44
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.93%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 20:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.83%E -4.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 23:50
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.83%E -4.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.40%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 20:50
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.31%EV -10.73%E -5.42%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.44%E -3.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-16 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.96%EV -11.63%E -5.93%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -12.88%E -4.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-16 20:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -12.08%E -6.20%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-16 20:50
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.12%EV -15.24%E -8.10%K -17.31%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 29.56%EV -15.24%E -5.31%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.32%EV -14.98%E -4.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-16 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.