La escuela de los momios

Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

2026-08-30 15:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Augsburg (Local)

Predicción 44.70%2.24momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.80%44.82%44.60%46.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.102.1751.28%47.98%47.62%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Schalke 04 (Visitante)

Predicción 30.03%3.33momio equitativo
EV +1.49%
Ventaja +0.439%
Kelly +0.624%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.67%29.97%30.11%30.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.113.103.3834.48%32.19%32.26%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.28%3.96momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.277%
Kelly +0.369%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.72%25.21%25.29%26.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.703.704.0028.99%27.05%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.43%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.17%EV +1.49%E +0.439%K +0.624%G +0.009%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.41%EV -1.93%E -0.496%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-24 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -0.917%E -0.278%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 18:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -0.917%E -0.278%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.69%E -2.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.42%E -0.744%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 06:50
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.69%E -2.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.42%E -0.744%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 06:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.42%E -0.744%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 05:22
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.25%EV -3.32%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 05:30
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 08:35
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 08:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 05:45
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 09:10
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.82%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%EV +1.11%E +0.277%K +0.369%G +0.004%2.8%2026-07-21 12:00
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:04
Suprabets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -8.82%E -4.32%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.36%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.60%EV -9.26%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 16:23
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +1.11%E +0.277%K +0.369%G +0.004%4.9%2026-07-21 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:14
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 11:59
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 12:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 12:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 12:00
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 07:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.74%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 08:05
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 08:05
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 11:59
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 08:05
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 04:00
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.60%E -5.30%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 20:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-16 20:50
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.31%EV -11.50%E -5.81%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 08:02
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-24 08:05
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.69%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.26%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-23 08:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%4.1%2026-07-25 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%4.1%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%4.1%2026-07-26 07:55
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 43.44%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%16.3%2026-07-26 07:50