La scuola delle quote

Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

2026-08-30 15:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Augsburg (Casa)

Previsione 44.70%2.24quota equa
EV -3.01%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.80%44.82%44.60%46.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.082.102.1751.28%47.98%47.62%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Schalke 04 (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.03%3.33quota equa
EV +1.49%
Vantaggio +0.439%
Kelly +0.624%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.67%29.97%30.11%30.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.113.103.3834.48%32.19%32.26%29.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.28%3.96quota equa
EV +1.11%
Vantaggio +0.277%
Kelly +0.369%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.72%25.21%25.29%26.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.703.704.0028.99%27.05%27.03%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.43%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.17%EV +1.49%E +0.439%K +0.624%G +0.009%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.41%EV -1.93%E -0.496%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-24 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -0.917%E -0.278%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 18:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -0.917%E -0.278%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.69%E -2.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.42%E -0.744%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 06:50
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.69%E -2.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.42%E -0.744%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 06:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.42%E -0.744%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 05:22
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.25%EV -3.32%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 05:30
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 08:35
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 08:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 05:45
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 09:10
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.82%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%EV +1.11%E +0.277%K +0.369%G +0.004%2.8%2026-07-21 12:00
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:04
Suprabets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -8.82%E -4.32%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.36%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.60%EV -9.26%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 16:23
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +1.11%E +0.277%K +0.369%G +0.004%4.9%2026-07-21 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:14
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 11:59
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 12:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 12:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 12:00
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 07:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.74%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 08:05
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 08:05
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 11:59
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 08:05
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 04:00
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.60%E -5.30%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 20:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-16 20:50
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.31%EV -11.50%E -5.81%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 08:02
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-24 08:05
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.69%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.26%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-23 08:03
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%4.1%2026-07-25 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%4.1%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%4.1%2026-07-26 07:55
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 43.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%7.5%2026-07-26 08:20