L’École des cotes

Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

2026-08-30 15:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Augsburg (Local)

Prévision 44.70%2.24cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.80%44.82%44.60%46.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.082.102.1751.28%47.98%47.62%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Schalke 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.03%3.33cote équitable
EV +1.49%
Avantage +0.439%
Kelly +0.624%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.67%29.97%30.11%30.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.113.103.3834.48%32.19%32.26%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.28%3.96cote équitable
EV +1.11%
Avantage +0.277%
Kelly +0.369%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.72%25.21%25.29%26.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.703.704.0028.99%27.05%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.43%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.17%EV +1.49%E +0.439%K +0.624%G +0.009%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.41%EV -1.93%E -0.496%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-24 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -0.917%E -0.278%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 18:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -0.917%E -0.278%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.69%E -2.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.42%E -0.744%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 06:50
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.69%E -2.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -2.42%E -0.744%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 06:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.42%E -0.744%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 05:22
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.25%EV -3.32%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 05:30
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 08:35
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 08:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 05:45
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.92%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 09:10
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.82%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%EV +1.11%E +0.277%K +0.369%G +0.004%2.8%2026-07-21 12:00
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:04
Suprabets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -8.82%E -4.32%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.36%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.60%EV -9.26%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 16:23
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +1.11%E +0.277%K +0.369%G +0.004%4.9%2026-07-21 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:14
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 11:59
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 12:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 12:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 12:00
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 07:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.74%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.95%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 08:05
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 08:05
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 11:59
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 08:05
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 04:00
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.60%E -5.30%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 20:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-16 20:50
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.31%EV -11.50%E -5.81%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 08:02
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-24 08:05
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.69%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.26%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-23 08:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%4.1%2026-07-25 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%4.1%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%4.1%2026-07-26 07:55
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 43.44%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%16.3%2026-07-26 07:50