Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.17
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stade Lavallois (Local): 30.90%; Red Star (Visit): 39.99%; Draw: 29.10%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -2.04%E -0.642%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.63%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -2.96%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.06%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.55%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.04%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.52%EV -5.13%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.10%EV -6.29%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -5.62%E -2.38%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -5.62%E -2.38%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 09:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -7.62%E -3.30%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.29%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.05%E -0.308%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 05:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 11:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 11:32 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 09:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 09:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 11:51 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.71%EV -8.53%E -2.88%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.42%EV -10.07%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 12:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.05%E -0.308%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 09:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.57%EV -8.42%E -3.67%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 05:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 05:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 05:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 05:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-04 07:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 05:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 05:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 05:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |