Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stade Lavallois v Red Star

Início: 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC

Final: Stade Lavallois 1–2 Red Star

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Previsão 30.90%3.24odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -0.642%
Kelly -0.938%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.67%30.95%30.89%32.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.952.953.1736.36%33.85%33.90%31.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Red Star (Visitante)

Previsão 39.99%2.50odd justa
EV -4.02%
Vantagem -1.67%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.81%39.98%40.08%41.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.322.302.4045.45%43.18%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.10%3.44odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.308%
Kelly -0.437%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.49%29.07%29.04%31.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.183.203.4033.90%31.41%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Stade Lavallois (Local): 30.90%; Red Star (Visitante): 39.99%; Empate: 29.10%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.44. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.40, com valor esperado de -1.05%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -2.04%E -0.642%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.63%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:00
BetUS🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -2.96%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.06%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 10:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.55%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.04%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 09:44
1xBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.52%EV -5.13%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.10%EV -6.29%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 11:50
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -5.62%E -2.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -5.62%E -2.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 09:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -7.62%E -3.30%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.29%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.05%E -0.308%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 05:25
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:24
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:28
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 05:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:34
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 11:32
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:35
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:50
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:49
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 09:40
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 09:40
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 11:51
Suprabets🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 30.71%EV -8.53%E -2.88%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.42%EV -10.07%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.05%E -0.308%K -0.437%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 05:30
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 09:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 09:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.57%EV -8.42%E -3.67%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:49
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:44
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 05:30
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:34
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:35
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 05:29
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 05:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 05:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 05:25
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 05:29
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 05:30
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 05:45
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 05:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 05:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 05:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-04 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-04 11:30
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-04 14:25