Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stade Lavallois v Red Star

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC

Score final : Stade Lavallois 1–2 Red Star

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Prévision 30.90%3.24cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.642%
Kelly -0.938%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.67%30.95%30.89%32.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.952.953.1736.36%33.85%33.90%31.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Red Star (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.99%2.50cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.81%39.98%40.08%41.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.322.302.4045.45%43.18%43.48%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.10%3.44cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.308%
Kelly -0.437%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.49%29.07%29.04%31.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.183.203.4033.90%31.41%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stade Lavallois (Local) : 30.90% ; Red Star (Visiteur) : 39.99% ; Match nul : 29.10%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.44. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.40, pour une espérance de -1.05% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -2.04%E -0.642%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.63%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:00
BetUS🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -2.96%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.06%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 10:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.55%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.04%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 09:44
1xBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.52%EV -5.13%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.10%EV -6.29%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 11:50
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -5.62%E -2.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -5.62%E -2.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 09:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -7.62%E -3.30%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.29%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.05%E -0.308%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 05:25
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:24
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:28
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 05:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:34
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 11:32
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:35
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:50
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:49
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 09:40
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 09:40
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 11:51
Suprabets🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 30.71%EV -8.53%E -2.88%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.42%EV -10.07%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.05%E -0.308%K -0.437%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 05:30
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 09:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 09:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.84%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.57%EV -8.42%E -3.67%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:49
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:44
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 05:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 05:30
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:34
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:35
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 05:29
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 05:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 05:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 05:25
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 05:29
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 05:30
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 05:45
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 05:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 05:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 05:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-04 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-04 11:30
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-04 14:25