Language:English
Saint Etienne v Rodez AF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saint Etienne (Local)
Prediction 54.19%1.85fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.25%54.08%54.18%55.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.691.691.7861.35%59.02%59.17%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rodez AF (Visit)
Prediction 21.84%4.58fair odd
EV +0.481%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.134%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.62%21.86%21.85%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.274.304.6026.67%23.40%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.97%4.17fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.95%24.06%23.98%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.823.904.0030.30%26.16%25.64%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Etienne (Local): 54.19%; Rodez AF (Visit): 21.84%; Draw: 23.97%. For Rodez AF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.481%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%EV +0.481%E +0.105%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.27%EV -1.27%E -0.280%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.72%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 07:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.16%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.84%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.20%EV -7.82%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.96%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 16:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.32%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.61%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 18:22 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.96%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.96%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.62%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.12%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.62%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.99%E -4.47%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-15 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -18.09%E -4.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -20.91%E -6.34%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |