A Escola das Odds

Saint Etienne v Rodez AF

Início: 2026-05-15 18:30 UTC

Final: Saint Etienne 0–0 Rodez AF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Previsão 54.19%1.85odd justa
EV -3.54%
Vantagem -1.99%
Kelly -4.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.25%54.08%54.18%55.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.631.691.691.7861.35%59.02%59.17%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rodez AF (Visitante)

Previsão 21.84%4.58odd justa
EV +0.481%
Vantagem +0.105%
Kelly +0.134%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.62%21.86%21.85%23.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.274.304.6026.67%23.40%23.26%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.97%4.17odd justa
EV -4.13%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.95%24.06%23.98%26.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.823.904.0030.30%26.16%25.64%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%EV +0.481%E +0.105%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 18:25
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.27%EV -1.27%E -0.280%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.72%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 18:15
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:50
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:50
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:50
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 17:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:50
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 18:15
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 07:30
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:50
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.16%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 12:45
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.84%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.20%EV -7.82%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.96%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 16:23
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 14:15
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 18:05
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 07:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:14
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:15
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.32%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 18:20
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Suprabets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.61%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 18:22
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.96%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.96%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 14:20
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:26
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.62%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.12%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 14:15
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.62%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-15 18:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.99%E -4.47%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-15 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -18.09%E -4.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -20.91%E -6.34%K -9.09%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-15 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-15 18:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-15 18:26
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-15 18:25
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-05-15 18:15