La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Saint Etienne v Rodez AF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Saint Etienne (Local)
Predicción 54.19%1.85momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -4.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.25%54.08%54.18%55.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.691.691.7861.35%59.02%59.17%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rodez AF (Visitante)
Predicción 21.84%4.58momio equitativo
EV +0.481%
Ventaja +0.105%
Kelly +0.134%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.62%21.86%21.85%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.274.304.6026.67%23.40%23.26%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.97%4.17momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.95%24.06%23.98%26.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.823.904.0030.30%26.16%25.64%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%EV +0.481%E +0.105%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.27%EV -1.27%E -0.280%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.72%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 07:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.16%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 12:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.84%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.20%EV -7.82%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.96%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 16:23 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 07:30 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:14 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.32%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.61%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 18:22 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.96%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.96%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 14:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.62%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.12%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.62%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.99%E -4.47%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-15 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -18.09%E -4.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -20.91%E -6.34%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |