L’École des cotes

Saint Etienne v Rodez AF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 18:30 UTC

Score final : Saint Etienne 0–0 Rodez AF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prévision 54.19%1.85cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.99%
Kelly -4.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.25%54.08%54.18%55.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.691.691.7861.35%59.02%59.17%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rodez AF (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.84%4.58cote équitable
EV +0.481%
Avantage +0.105%
Kelly +0.134%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.62%21.86%21.85%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.274.304.6026.67%23.40%23.26%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.97%4.17cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.95%24.06%23.98%26.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.823.904.0030.30%26.16%25.64%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%EV +0.481%E +0.105%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 18:25
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.27%EV -1.27%E -0.280%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.72%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 18:15
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:50
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:50
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.70%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:50
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 17:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:50
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -11.67%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -3.89%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:50
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 18:15
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 07:30
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.33%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:50
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.16%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 12:45
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.84%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.20%EV -7.82%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.96%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 16:23
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 14:15
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 18:05
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 07:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:14
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.17%E -2.95%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:15
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.32%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 18:20
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:20
Suprabets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.61%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 18:22
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.96%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.96%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 14:20
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.88%E -4.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:26
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.62%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.12%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 14:15
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.62%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-15 18:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.99%E -4.47%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-15 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -18.09%E -4.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -20.91%E -6.34%K -9.09%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-15 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-15 18:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-15 18:26
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-15 18:25
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-05-15 18:15