Language:English
Red Star v Rodez AF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Red Star (Local)
Prediction 38.83%2.58fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.27%38.97%38.74%41.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.5145.45%43.09%43.48%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rodez AF (Visit)
Prediction 32.19%3.11fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.444%
Kelly +0.651%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.55%32.11%32.23%33.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.932.903.1538.46%34.14%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.98%3.45fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.91%28.93%29.03%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.163.153.3534.72%31.69%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Red Star (Local): 38.83%; Rodez AF (Visit): 32.19%; Draw: 28.98%. For Rodez AF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -2.55%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -2.90%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.94%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -3.77%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 18:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -7.98%E -3.37%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -7.61%E -2.65%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 18:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 16:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 16:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 16:16 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 16:16 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%EV -8.37%E -3.55%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 28.97%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.48%E -4.17%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-12 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -15.66%E -5.98%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-12 18:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -16.31%E -6.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -16.53%E -5.74%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.76% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 1.6% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.76% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 1.6% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |