A Escola das Odds

Red Star v Rodez AF

Início: 2026-05-12 18:30 UTC

Final: Red Star 2–3 Rodez AF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Red Star (Local)

Previsão 38.83%2.58odd justa
EV -2.55%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.27%38.97%38.74%41.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.322.302.5145.45%43.09%43.48%39.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rodez AF (Visitante)

Previsão 32.19%3.11odd justa
EV +1.40%
Vantagem +0.444%
Kelly +0.651%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.55%32.11%32.23%33.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.932.903.1538.46%34.14%34.48%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.98%3.45odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -0.867%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.91%28.93%29.03%29.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.163.153.3534.72%31.69%31.75%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:25
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:25
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 17:00
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -2.55%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -2.90%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 18:10
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.94%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -3.77%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:05
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:05
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:24
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:20
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -7.98%E -3.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -7.61%E -2.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:10
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 17:10
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 18:23
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:10
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 17:10
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
Suprabets2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%EV -8.37%E -3.55%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.97%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:05
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:05
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-12 17:50
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 16:05
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 16:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-12 18:25
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.48%E -4.17%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-12 17:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -15.66%E -5.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-12 18:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -16.31%E -6.27%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -16.53%E -5.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-12 18:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-05-12 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11%2.6%2026-05-12 18:25