L’École des cotes

Red Star v Rodez AF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 18:30 UTC

Score final : Red Star 2–3 Rodez AF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Red Star (Local)

Prévision 38.83%2.58cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.27%38.97%38.74%41.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.322.302.5145.45%43.09%43.48%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rodez AF (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.19%3.11cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.444%
Kelly +0.651%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.55%32.11%32.23%33.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.932.903.1538.46%34.14%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.98%3.45cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -0.867%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.91%28.93%29.03%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.163.153.3534.72%31.69%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:25
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:25
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 17:00
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -2.55%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -2.90%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 18:10
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.94%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -3.77%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:05
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:05
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:24
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:20
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -7.98%E -3.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -7.61%E -2.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:10
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 17:10
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 18:23
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:10
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 17:10
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
Suprabets2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%EV -8.37%E -3.55%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.97%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:05
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:05
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-12 17:50
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 16:05
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 16:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-12 18:25
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.48%E -4.17%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-12 17:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -15.66%E -5.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-12 18:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -16.31%E -6.27%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -16.53%E -5.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-12 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-05-12 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11%2.6%2026-05-12 18:25