مدرسة الاحتمالات

Red Star v Rodez AF

البداية: 2026-05-12 18:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Red Star 2–3 Rodez AF

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Red Star (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.83%2.58السعر العادل
EV -2.55%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -1.69%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.27%38.97%38.74%41.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.322.302.5145.45%43.09%43.48%39.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rodez AF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.19%3.11السعر العادل
EV +1.40%
الأفضلية +0.444%
Kelly +0.651%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.55%32.11%32.23%33.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.932.903.1538.46%34.14%34.48%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.98%3.45السعر العادل
EV -2.90%
الأفضلية -0.867%
Kelly -1.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.91%28.93%29.03%29.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.163.153.3534.72%31.69%31.75%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:25
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:25
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV +1.40%E +0.444%K +0.651%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -0.211%E -0.068%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:25
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -13.42%E -6.02%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.58%E -6.63%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -1.82%E -0.597%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 17:00
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -2.55%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -2.90%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 18:10
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.94%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -3.77%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:05
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:05
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:24
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:20
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -7.98%E -3.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -7.61%E -2.65%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:10
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 17:10
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 18:23
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.59%E -3.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.80%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:10
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 17:10
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:16
Suprabets2.36I 42.37%NM 38.54%EV -8.37%E -3.55%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.97%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:05
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:05
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-12 17:50
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 16:05
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 16:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.87%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-12 18:25
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.48%E -4.17%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.05%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-12 17:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.64%E -5.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -15.66%E -5.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -10.15%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-12 18:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -10.70%E -4.65%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -16.31%E -6.27%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -16.53%E -5.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-12 18:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-05-12 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11%2.6%2026-05-12 18:25