Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.37
assuming max odds 3.34
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pau FC (Local): 40.65%; Sochaux (Visit): 29.89%; Draw: 29.46%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.160%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.160%E +0.047%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 08:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -12.61%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 08:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.48%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.08%EV -7.32%E -3.21%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.64%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 05:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 05:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -4.94%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 11:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.98%EV -4.48%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.83%EV -0.154%E -0.046%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.19%EV -6.03%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.63%EV -3.67%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -1.05%E -0.317%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.28%EV -6.32%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -5.70%E -2.46%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 08:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 08:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 08:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 08:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 08:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -9.36%E -4.20%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -4.89%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -4.89%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.41%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 05:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.61%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.41%EV -7.63%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 30.19%EV -11.33%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 14:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 04:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 04:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 04:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 04:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -14.64%E -6.97%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 08:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.91%E -4.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-04 04:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.30%EV -15.45%E -7.43%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-01 08:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.30%EV -15.45%E -7.43%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-01 08:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.30%EV -15.45%E -7.43%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-01 08:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -16.04%E -5.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.11% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.78% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |