默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pau FC v Sochaux

2026-09-04 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

41%

32%

28%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pau FC (主队)

预测 40.55%2.47公平赔率

EV -6.75%

优势 -2.93%

Kelly -5.19%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

40.46%40.62%40.52%41.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.152.252.262.3046.51%44.54%44.15%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sochaux (客队)

预测 31.58%3.17公平赔率

EV -5.26%

优势 -1.75%

Kelly -2.63%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布

30.88%31.54%31.43%32.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.752.932.943.0036.36%34.18%34.07%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.87%3.59公平赔率

EV -8.01%

优势 -2.43%

Kelly -3.48%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布

27.07%27.84%28.05%28.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.103.263.303.3032.26%30.70%30.30%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Pau FC (主队)：40.55%；Sochaux (客队)：31.58%；平局：27.87%。对于“Sochaux (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.17。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.00，期望值为-5.26%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.46%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%	2.97I 33.67%NM 31.34%EV -6.21%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 11:45
Unibet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 10:50
TABtouch🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 10:50
Grosvenor🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 10:50
Casumo🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 10:50
betPARX🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.56%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 10:49
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-08-31 10:50
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-08-31 10:50
Codere (IT)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-08-31 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-08-31 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -10.80%E -4.91%K -9.00%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-31 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.80%E -4.91%K -9.00%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.58%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-08-31 11:05
BetRivers🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.80%E -4.91%K -9.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -12.20%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-08-31 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 40.52%EV -11.61%E -5.33%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.99%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-31 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 40.52%EV -11.61%E -5.33%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.99%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-31 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 40.52%EV -11.61%E -5.33%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.99%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-31 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.15%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-08-31 11:10

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。