Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pau FC v Sochaux

Início: 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC

Final: Pau FC 1–1 Sochaux

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pau FC (Local)

Previsão 40.65%2.46odd justa
EV -3.67%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.59%40.73%40.65%42.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.242.252.3748.08%44.69%44.44%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sochaux (Visitante)

Previsão 29.89%3.35odd justa
EV -0.154%
Vantagem -0.046%
Kelly -0.066%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.83%29.80%29.88%30.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.123.103.3434.72%32.03%32.26%29.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.46%3.39odd justa
EV +0.160%
Vantagem +0.047%
Kelly +0.067%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.78%29.47%29.48%32.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.133.153.4035.09%31.94%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pau FC (Local): 40.65%; Sochaux (Visitante): 29.89%; Empate: 29.46%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.39. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.160%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.160%E +0.047%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 14:05
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 14:05
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 08:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -12.61%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -2.79%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 08:05
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.48%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 04:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 14:10
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.08%EV -7.32%E -3.21%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.64%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:20
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 05:53
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 05:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -4.94%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 20:15
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 11:51
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.98%EV -4.48%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.83%EV -0.154%E -0.046%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.19%EV -6.03%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.63%EV -3.67%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -1.05%E -0.317%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.28%EV -6.32%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -5.70%E -2.46%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:04
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:05
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:09
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:05
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:05
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.39%E -5.22%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:05
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 20:15
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 20:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -9.36%E -4.20%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 20:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -4.89%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -4.89%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:19
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.38%EV -7.73%E -3.41%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 05:50
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.61%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.68%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 18:04
Suprabets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.41%EV -7.63%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.19%EV -11.33%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 14:16
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 04:04
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 04:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 04:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 20:15
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 20:15
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 20:15
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -14.64%E -6.97%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 08:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.91%E -4.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-04 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.30%EV -15.45%E -7.43%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-01 08:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.30%EV -15.45%E -7.43%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-01 08:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.30%EV -15.45%E -7.43%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-01 08:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -1.35%E -0.409%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -16.04%E -5.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%1.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%1.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%1.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.78%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%2.3%2026-09-04 14:35