Language:English
Nantes v Red Star
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nantes (Local)
Prediction 53.60%1.87fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%53.45%53.60%55.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.741.8259.88%57.25%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Red Star (Visit)
Prediction 20.26%4.94fair odd
EV +0.097%
Edge +0.020%
Kelly +0.025%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.47%20.37%20.21%22.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.414.504.9425.64%22.67%22.22%20.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.18%26.19%27.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.7030.30%28.70%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nantes (Local): 53.60%; Red Star (Visit): 20.26%; Draw: 26.14%. For Red Star (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.935. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.940, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.097%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.03%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.47%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.50%EV -5.11%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -2.74%E -0.571%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -2.74%E -0.571%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -3.75%E -0.790%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.57%EV -8.35%E -4.88%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -3.75%E -0.790%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -5.37%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.20%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.73%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.87%EV -5.78%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.73%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.87%EV -5.78%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.52%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.20%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 15:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.91%EV -6.41%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 18:19 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.45%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 26.80%EV -11.38%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:22 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:32 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.58%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.58%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.56%EV -9.42%E -5.58%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 14:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -10.49%E -6.28%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -13.88%E -3.27%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 14:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:23 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -20.98%E -5.38%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -20.98%E -5.38%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -20.98%E -5.38%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.87% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.09% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.36% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.