Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Nantes v Red Star

Początek: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Nantes 0–1 Red Star

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Nantes (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 53.60%1.87kurs godziwy
EV -2.46%
Przewaga -1.35%
Kelly -2.99%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.82

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.53%53.45%53.60%55.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.671.751.741.8259.88%57.25%57.47%54.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Red Star (Goście)

Prognoza 20.26%4.94kurs godziwy
EV +0.097%
Przewaga +0.020%
Kelly +0.025%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.94

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.47%20.37%20.21%22.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.904.414.504.9425.64%22.67%22.22%20.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.14%3.83kurs godziwy
EV -3.28%
Przewaga -0.885%
Kelly -1.21%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.15%26.18%26.19%27.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.483.503.7030.30%28.70%28.57%27.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Nantes (Gospodarze): 53.60%; Red Star (Goście): 20.26%; Remis: 26.14%. Dla wyniku Red Star (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.935. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.940, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.097%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.03%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.47%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.50%EV -5.11%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -2.74%E -0.571%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -2.74%E -0.571%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -3.75%E -0.790%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.57%EV -8.35%E -4.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -3.75%E -0.790%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -5.37%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.20%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:29
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:38
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.73%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.87%EV -5.78%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.73%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.87%EV -5.78%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 17:39
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.52%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.20%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 15:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.91%EV -6.41%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 18:19
Suprabets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.45%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 26.80%EV -11.38%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:22
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:32
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:29
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:24
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.58%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.58%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.56%EV -9.42%E -5.58%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 14:33
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 18:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 15:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -10.49%E -6.28%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -13.88%E -3.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 14:35
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:23
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -20.98%E -5.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -20.98%E -5.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -20.98%E -5.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-08 18:35
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.09%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-08-08 18:30