Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nantes v Red Star

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Score final : Nantes 0–1 Red Star

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nantes (Local)

Prévision 53.60%1.87cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.53%53.45%53.60%55.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.741.8259.88%57.25%57.47%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Red Star (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.26%4.94cote équitable
EV +0.097%
Avantage +0.020%
Kelly +0.025%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.47%20.37%20.21%22.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.414.504.9425.64%22.67%22.22%20.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.14%3.83cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -0.885%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.15%26.18%26.19%27.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.483.503.7030.30%28.70%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nantes (Local) : 53.60% ; Red Star (Visiteur) : 20.26% ; Match nul : 26.14%. Pour Red Star (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.935. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.940, soit une espérance positive de +0.097%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.03%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.47%EV +0.097%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.50%EV -5.11%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -2.74%E -0.571%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -2.74%E -0.571%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -3.75%E -0.790%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.57%EV -8.35%E -4.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -3.75%E -0.790%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -5.37%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -3.28%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.20%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:29
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:38
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.73%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.87%EV -5.78%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.73%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.87%EV -5.78%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 17:39
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.52%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.20%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 15:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.91%EV -6.41%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 18:19
Suprabets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.45%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 26.80%EV -11.38%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:22
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.89%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:32
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:29
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:24
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.81%E -4.54%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.58%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.58%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.56%EV -9.42%E -5.58%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -10.85%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 14:33
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 18:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 15:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -10.49%E -6.28%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.26%E -2.83%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -13.88%E -3.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 14:35
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:23
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -2.46%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -16.92%E -4.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.12%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -20.98%E -5.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -20.98%E -5.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -20.98%E -5.38%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-08 18:35
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.09%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-08-08 18:30