Language:English
Montpellier v Dijon
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montpellier (Local)
Prediction 49.80%2.01fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.80%49.74%49.76%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.871.9357.14%53.39%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dijon (Visit)
Prediction 23.10%4.33fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.89%23.14%23.19%24.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.923.904.2427.78%25.50%25.64%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -0.822%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.12%27.06%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.353.6131.25%29.71%29.85%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montpellier (Local): 49.80%; Dijon (Visit): 23.10%; Draw: 27.11%. For Dijon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.24, with an expected value of -2.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -4.89%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.89%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.42%E -0.671%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.64%EV -2.07%E -0.489%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.59%EV -2.15%E -0.594%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.57%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.79%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.64%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.46%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.46%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 07:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -11.08%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -15.70%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -7.38%E -3.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -7.30%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 07:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.36%E -5.76%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -10.36%E -5.76%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -12.85%E -7.35%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29% | 1.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
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