Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.24
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Montpellier (Local): 49.80%; Dijon (Visitante): 23.10%; Empate: 27.11%. Para Dijon (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.33. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.24, con un valor esperado de -2.07%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -4.89%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.89%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.42%E -0.671%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.64%EV -2.07%E -0.489%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.59%EV -2.15%E -0.594%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.57%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.79%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.64%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.46%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.46%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 07:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 07:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -11.08%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -15.70%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -7.38%E -3.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -7.30%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 07:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.36%E -5.76%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -10.36%E -5.76%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -12.85%E -7.35%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29% | 1.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |