Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Montpellier v Dijon

Początek: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Montpellier 1–1 Dijon

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Montpellier (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.80%2.01kurs godziwy
EV -3.89%
Przewaga -2.02%
Kelly -4.18%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.93

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.80%49.74%49.76%51.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.751.871.871.9357.14%53.39%53.48%51.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dijon (Goście)

Prognoza 23.10%4.33kurs godziwy
EV -2.07%
Przewaga -0.489%
Kelly -0.640%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.24

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.89%23.14%23.19%24.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.923.904.2427.78%25.50%25.64%23.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.11%3.69kurs godziwy
EV -2.15%
Przewaga -0.594%
Kelly -0.822%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.61

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.35%27.12%27.06%28.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.203.373.353.6131.25%29.71%29.85%27.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Montpellier (Gospodarze): 49.80%; Dijon (Goście): 23.10%; Remis: 27.11%. Dla wyniku Dijon (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.33. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 4.24, przy wartości oczekiwanej -2.07%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 09:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 16:59
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 09:55
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 09:55
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 09:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -4.89%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 18:34
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.89%E -2.56%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 07:45
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.42%E -0.671%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.38%E -2.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:25
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.64%EV -2.07%E -0.489%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.59%EV -2.15%E -0.594%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 18:30
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.57%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.79%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.64%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -5.88%E -3.11%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 07:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.46%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 07:25
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.46%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:33
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.38%E -3.39%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 07:25
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 07:49
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 07:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 07:45
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:35
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:19
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -11.08%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.90%EV -6.88%E -3.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -15.70%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 09:50
Suprabets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -7.38%E -3.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 18:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -7.30%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 18:38
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 14:04
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 14:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -7.87%E -4.26%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 09:50
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 07:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 18:34
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 07:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.36%E -5.76%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 09:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -10.36%E -5.76%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 07:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -12.85%E -7.35%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 10:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-08-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-08-08 18:35
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-08-08 18:40